While it’s still early in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers – just Matchday 6 – the encounter between Ghana and Madagascar on Monday night is poised to feel like a final.
As we reach the midway point of the campaign, the Black Stars are sitting atop Group I, leading by two points with Madagascar closely trailing.
With only one team from each group automatically advancing to the World Cup, this showdown at the top of the table is a crucial six-pointer.
The four-time Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) champions managed a narrow win over Madagascar in their previous match, courtesy of a late strike by Inaki Williams – his maiden goal for Ghana.
With only four games left following this fixture, head coach Otto Addo has underscored its significance by labelling it “a small final.”
At a press conference, Addo remarked: “Everyone must stay sharp. This is akin to a small final, and should we win, we are well on our way. Madagascar is a formidable team, and it’s going to be a challenging match.”
Addo’s assessment is spot on. Claiming victory against the Barea would grant Ghana a five-point cushion over Madagascar, considerably enhancing their qualification hopes.
In other Group I fixtures, Comoros will face Chad while Mali will visit the Central African Republic. If the favoured teams prevail, Ghana could still enjoy a three-point lead over Comoros and a four-point lead over Mali – both of whom they are set to face in Accra later in the qualifiers.
Earlier in the qualifiers, Ghana emerged victorious over Mali with a 2-1 win in Bamako but suffered a 1-0 defeat to Comoros away from home. The Black Stars are scheduled to host Mali on Matchday 8 before welcoming Comoros on the final matchday.
Despite their impressive 5-0 defeat of Chad last Friday, capitalising on this momentum against Madagascar will be crucial. A win not only fortifies their lead but would also spell the end of Madagascar’s qualification aspirations.
Following the match against Madagascar, Ghana’s next outing will be against Chad in September, providing an opportunity to build a rare winning streak before tackling tougher encounters against Mali and Comoros.
With qualification in Group I likely requiring around 20-22 points, Ghana’s current total of 12 indicates they need a minimum of 10 points from their remaining five fixtures. Winning against Madagascar and Chad would leave them needing just four points from their last three matches against Mali (H), the Central African Republic (A), and Comoros (H) to secure their spot.
The clash with Madagascar is pivotal; anything less than a full three points could leave Group I wide open for surprises.
The Black Stars must approach the match with unwavering focus and resolve in order to secure victory against a Madagascar side they have traditionally outperformed.
With a history of success on their side and an opportunity to shape their own fate, Ghana must rise to the occasion at the Al Hoceima Stadium under the bright lights of Morocco.
The Black Star Watch is a captivating weekly column by Owuraku Ampofo, a seasoned sports journalist with over five years of experience covering Ghanaian players. This column aims to uncover trends, tackle pressing questions, and illuminate current topics surrounding Ghanaian footballers.

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